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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Platform]: The yen is under pressure under trade tensions and the dovish position of the Bank of Japan." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
XM Forex APP News-On Friday (August 1), the yen is currently facing a stofoco.complex situation, affected by the double influence of the intensified global trade tensions and the dovish position of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Although safe-haven demand has driven the yen to rebound slightly, the yen is still close to a four-month low against the dollar, with market dynamics driven by global trade policies and Japanese domestic economic uncertainty. Trade tariffs stimulate the demand for safe-haven by the Japanese yen. US President Trump recently signed an executive order to impose higher tariffs on major trading partners, including Japan, with tariffs on Japan down from 25% previously threatened to 15%. The move has exacerbated global trade uncertainty and reignited demand for safe-haven assets such as the Japanese yen, causing the yen to rebound slightly against the dollar. However, the dollar remained strong as markets expected the Fed to postpone a rate cut in September and the U.S. economy was strong, limiting the yen's gains. Currently, the US dollar/JPY trading is around 150.53, reflecting the game between the flow of safe-haven funds and the strong US dollar. The Bank of Japan's dovish policy limits the upside of the yen. The Bank of Japan decided to keep the current interest rate unchanged at its July meeting, and the dovish remarks of President Ueda further limit the yen's upside potential. Kazuo Ueda stressed that policy normalization will be cautious and that the impact of the new US-Japan trade agreement on the economy needs to be evaluated. Although the Bank of Japan raised its core CPI forecast for fiscal 2025 to 2.7%, it said it has no intention of hiking interest rates in the near future, especially considering the domestic political uncertainty brought about by the Liberal Democratic Party election defeat on July 20. This dovish stance weakens the confidence of the yen bulls. The dollar is strong and the U.S. economic data is attracting much attention as the market expects the Fed's interest rate cut in SeptemberThe reduction in resilience is maintained, which puts further pressure on the yen. Recent U.S. economic data, including an annualized GDP growth rate of 3% in the second quarter and a rise in personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index in June to 2.6%, reinforces the idea that the Fed may not start cutting interest rates until at least October. The upcoming U.S. non-farm employment (NFP) report is expected to show 110,000 new jobs in July, a data that will become a key driver of the US dollar/JPY price trend. If the data is strong, the US dollar may rise further.
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